State of Ethereum – October 2020

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October 21, 2020
by Peter Seed

The State of Ethereum as of October 2020.

The Summer of DeFi

On October 14, 2020, I attended the invest: ethereum economy conference sponsored by CoinDesk.

Although we did not gather in the Golden Gate Park, there was a lot of talk about the Summer of DeFi. Everyone seemed to agree that due to the popularity of DeFi, Ethereum gas prices were too damn high!

There were several scaling solutions presented at this conference.

Proof of Stake Roadmap

Vitalik Buterin summarized the state of Ethereum’s planned upgrade from “proof of work” to  “proof of stake” by giving a full history of how Ethereum has progressed over the years.  Ethereum 2 will vastly increase the transactional capacity of the public Ethereum blockchain. Once in place, it is expected to handle up to 100,000 transactions per second – supported by side chains also referred to as parachains. There will be three phases of implementation over a two-year period.

    • Phase 0:   (Q4 2020) – Launch of the Beacon Chain
    • Phase 1:   (2021) – Integration of Shard Chains controlled by the Beacon Chain 
    • Phase 2:   (2022) – Full migration of Ethereum 1 chain into the Ethereum 2 chain

More detail on the roadmap is here.

Vitalik dropped two other milestones in the mix that gave us something to explore right now:

Roll-ups

Roll-ups address scalability by deploying side chains. ZK roll-ups are feeding into the main net, already. So that was encouraging. After researching some solutions, my walk-away was that these bolt-on side chains will add complexity to any development project. Having said that, side-chain communities will likely develop around specific fintech operations such as robo staking.

As far as roll-up infrastructure goes, Polkadot seems interesting – especially when used in conjunction with Moonbeam or the Optimum Virtual Machine. Polkadot is still on testnet but will be live soon.

The Optimistic roll-up is worth mentioning, as well. This scheme relies upon game-theory-driven incentives to support validation between layer 1 (on-chain) and layer 2 (off-chain). Blockchain applications are essentially split into two components. Layer 1 manages the data. Layer 2 handles the computation. This scheme vastly speeds up computing power of smart contracts.

EIP-1559

The most exiting presentation was the upgrade project called EIP-1559. This upgrade would be within the Ethereum protocol, thus, no bolt-ons. Once implemented, it will restructure how gas fees will be set in conjunction with control of block sizes. In other words, prices and quantities will both be be controlled. There will also be a relief-valve mechanism that reverts to the current pay-to-play auction scheme when there is block congestion is detected. I will spare you the details of exactly how that will work. Suffice to say, it will be very welcome upgrade.

My read of EIP-1559 is that it is akin to an automated monetary policy within the Ethereum infinite machine that will provide a higher level of social economic efficiency.

Here is a good summary of EIP-1559.

Here is a deeper explanation.

Taking all the activities discussed at this conference into account, one analyst pointed out the all the Ethereum initiatives point to a steady decrease in the liquid supply of Ethereum. In the future, a sizable percentage of all Ether will be staked or burned – at least much more than it is now.

We all know from economics 101 that decreasing supply of a commodity will cause prices to rise. UpTrade’s Blue Horseshoe foresees a bull market for Ethereum capped by the holy grail of Ethereum 2.0.

DeFi for the Masses

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July 8, 2020
by Peter Seed

How Ethereum has captured decentralized finance.

Perhaps you have read that the latest trend in robo-advisory is DeFi.  DeFi stands for decentralized finance.  “So what?”, you might ask, “Why should I care?”

Well, let me just say that Defi has significant value to self-directed investors.  It is based on the Ethereum blockchain which is used for creating smart contracts in the blockchain.  These smart contracts are fully automated applications.  They are infinite machines that operate without a centralized authority devoid of administrator interference and inefficiency. 

One of the biggest advantages of DeFi applications is staking.  Staking is a process where Ether (the blockchain’s unit of value) can be locked up as collateral in a smart contract that functions like a robo bank. 

No financial investment is risk free, but properly executed, staking can take advantage of interest and capital gains on Ether at the same time.  Borrowers can borrow digital money pegged to the dollar, called stablecoin, without a loan application.  All that is needed is collateral in the form of Ether – the utility token that powers the Ethereum blockchain. 

If low interest loans are not your thing, you can deposit your Ether in a smart contract that pays you interest.  Interest rates can be as high as 10% but typically vary from 5% to 10% — depending on demand.  Interest is compounded in real-time and you can withdraw your money in any amount at any time. 

Does this mean that staking Ether pays risk-free interest?  Not quite, but it sure beats the typical 1% interest you might get from money-market sweeps of free cash in a brokerage account.  Right now, interest on a 3-month T-bill is 1.28%.   UpTrade incorporates an easy to use staking process that makes the process easy to implement.

Ether has been on a tear, lately, in anticipation of what is called Ether 2.0 — a major overall of the Ethereum public blockchain that will increase the scalability of Ethereum ten-fold.  A price chart of Ether shows the price of Ether has tripled since March 2020. 

 

The resurgence of the price of Ether is likely due to it’s dominance in the DeFi marketplace with sites like Oasis or Staked.  Unlike Ethereum, the Bitcoin blockchain cannot hold smart contracts.  If the trend holds, Ethereum will likely led the way.  

At the very least, Ether is a good diversification asset.  More importantly, Ethereum has brought self-directed banking to people who want to control their own financial future without having to sell an underlying asset and without having to wait until the bank is open for business.